{"id":56368,"date":"2023-01-05T15:14:22","date_gmt":"2023-01-05T04:14:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icmarkets.eu\/blog\/?p=56368"},"modified":"2023-01-05T15:14:22","modified_gmt":"2023-01-05T04:14:22","slug":"ic-markets-asia-fundamental-forecast-05-january-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icmarkets.eu\/blog\/fundamental-analysis\/ic-markets-asia-fundamental-forecast-05-january-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"IC Markets Asia Fundamental Forecast | 05 January 2023"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>What happened in the US session?<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The DXY consolidated below the 104 price level with the FOMC meeting minutes failing to provide more volatility. The S&amp;P 500 closed slightly higher by 0.75% at the 3,852 price level.\u00c2\u00a0\u00c2\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>What does it mean for the Asia Session?<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The major currencies are likely to consolidate along the current level with higher volatility leading into the US session.\u00c2\u00a0\u00c2\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>The Dollar Index (DXY)\u00c2\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>Key news events today<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">USD FOMC Meeting Minutes\u00c2\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">USD ADP Non-Farm Employment Change<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>What can we expect from DXY today?<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Although the DXY traded lower early in the trading session, the move lower was retraced during the US session. The FOMC meeting minutes indicated that \u00e2\u20ac\u02dcfurther rate increases would be necessary\u00e2\u20ac\u2122 and that \u00e2\u20ac\u02dcrate cuts shouldn\u00e2\u20ac\u2122t happen in 2023\u00e2\u20ac\u2122. This did not support the market anticipation that the Federal Reserve would pivot on its current monetary policy path. Look for the DXY to consolidate at the current price level with potential for further downside, with the next key support level at 103.22.\u00c2\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Central Bank Notes:<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Federal Reserve hiked rates by 50bps taking interest rates to 4.50%<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Next meeting is on 2 February 2023<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Further rate increases are expected to slow<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><b>Next 24 Hours Bias<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Weak Bearish<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Gold (XAU)<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>Key news events today<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">No major news events.\u00c2\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>What can we expect from Gold today?<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Overnight, Gold traded higher with choppy price action. Reaching a high of 1863 before retracing, the uptrend on Gold is likely to continue. Currently, at the 1856 price level, look for Gold to retrace to test the 1850 price level. If the price action indicates a rejection of the support level, Gold could continue trading higher ward the next key resistance level of 1900.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Next 24 Hours Bias<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Weak Bullish<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>The Australian Dollar (AUD)<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>Key news events today<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">No major news events.\u00c2\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>What can we expect from AUD today?<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Through yesterday\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s trading session, the AUDUSD saw significant upside moves, with the price climbing toward the 0.69 round number resistance area. This move higher was driven by the news that China was looking into removing the ban on Australian coal. Currently trading at the 0.6817 price level, look for the AUDUSD to complete the retracement and resume the upward move, with the next key resistance levels at 0.69 and 0.7135.\u00c2\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Central Bank Notes:<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Cash rate stands at 3.10%\u00c2\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Future rate rises will be determined by data, the outlook for inflation, and the labour market.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Next meeting on 7 February 2023<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><b>Next 24 Hours Bias<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Weak Bullish<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>The Kiwi Dollar (NZD)<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>Key news events today<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">No major news events.\u00c2\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>What can we expect from NZD today?<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The NZDUSD traded with significant volatility as the price climbed higher toward the 0.6350 price area, but the move higher was quickly reversed as the NZDUSD ended the trading session just below the 0.63 round number support level. Anticipating strength in the DXY following the FOMC meeting minutes, the NZDUSD could trade lower from the current price of 0.6280, with the next key support level at 0.62.\u00c2\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Central Bank Notes:<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Cash rate stands at 4.25%\u00c2\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Central bank is likely to continue with the current path of rate adjustment<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Next meeting is on 21 February 2023<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><b>Next 24 Hours Bias<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Weak Bearish<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>The Japanese Yen (JPY)<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>Key news events today<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">No major news events.\u00c2\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>What can we expect from JPY today?<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The USDJPY traded higher through the trading session overnight as the price broke through the 131.50 price level to reach a near-term high of 132.65. This move higher was due to the strength of the DXY. However, currently the USDJPY is retracing briefly with the price testing the round number support of 132.00. With no major news events ahead, look for the retracement to complete and for the price to bounce off the support level to signal a continuation of the upward move, with the next key resistance level at 134.50.\u00c2\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Central Bank Notes:<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Cash rate stands at -0.1%\u00c2\u00a0\u00c2\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Expands range for 10 year JGB yield fluctuations to 0.5%, rather than the current of 0.25%<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Next meeting is on 18 January 2023\u00c2\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><b>Next 24 Hours Bias<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Weak Bearish<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What happened in the US session? The DXY consolidated below the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":56102,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[196,215],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-56368","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-fundamental-analysis","category-market-analysis"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/icmarkets.eu\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56368","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/icmarkets.eu\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/icmarkets.eu\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/icmarkets.eu\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/icmarkets.eu\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=56368"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/icmarkets.eu\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56368\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":56369,"href":"https:\/\/icmarkets.eu\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56368\/revisions\/56369"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/icmarkets.eu\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/56102"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/icmarkets.eu\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=56368"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/icmarkets.eu\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=56368"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/icmarkets.eu\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=56368"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}